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Paul Downey's avatar

It must be over 50years ago that I came across the aphorism of the Saudi business man who said his father rode a camel, he drove a Mercedes, his son had his own helicopter and in the fullness of time his son will ride a camel.

Jiang comes from the world of History, and must be well aware that his subject is always written by the winners. As an Engineer, I come from the black and white world of thermodynamics and have known for over 60years that the first decades of this century would be conditioned by a collapse in the availability of exergy. As most people can only act in the world if they are given a good story, what better story for the religious nut jobs of the US to get behind than rebuilding the Temple.

Most people here, in the Western world, seem to lack an understanding of the enormous underlying forces at work at the geopolitical level but my own two daughters are well aware that they will be riding bicycles before not too long.

Michael's avatar

There's something funny about Jiang. I wonder why he has no problem with the dozen AI spinoff channels on youtube, spouting portions of his ideas sometimes coherently and sometimes not. His predictions are also broad and varied enough that he can claim to have predicted just about anything that happens.

To his credit, he does a good job of jumping between intuitive, conspiracy-aware, big-picture frameworks and rational analyses using historical patterns. This alone will generate pretty good ideas, superior to the one-sided analyses more commonly found.

In any case, how does it help any of us to continue to develop agency, develop life plans, build a parallel society and alternative future?

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